Price ChangesFPL Price Changes: Risers, Fallers & Top Transfers

Player prices in Fantasy Premier League move with demand, not with points. FPL works a lot like a stock market: when millions of managers pile into the same player, the price goes up, and when they sell, it comes down. A player can have a brilliant week and still fall if managers are moving on to someone else.

Price rises and price falls

• Price rises happen to players in demand, the ones being transferred into squads in large numbers.
• Price falls happen to players being sold in large numbers, most often because of an injury, a drop in form or a run of difficult fixtures.

What triggers a change

FPL has never published its formula, but a change is driven bynet transfers: transfers in minus transfers out. The number needed depends on ownership, so a player owned by a million managers needs far more transfers to move than one owned by a few thousand. FPL now publishes how far each player is toward that threshold, and that figure is the Progress column above.

The rules of FPL price changes

• Once a day: prices update overnight, in the early hours of the morning UK time.
• £0.1m at a time: every change is exactly £0.1m, up or down.
• Gameweek limit: a player can move by at most £0.3m within one gameweek.
• Harder after a change: a player who has already risen before the next deadline needs many more transfers to rise again.
• Flags and locks: injury and availability flags change how many transfers are needed, and a price can be locked for a time, for example when a player returns from a red flag. Locked players are marked in the table.

How price changes affect your team

• You keep half of a rise. For every £0.2m a player rises while in your squad, your selling price goes up £0.1m. Buy at £5.0m, see them rise to £5.2m, and you can sell for £5.1m.
• You take the whole of a fall. Buy at £5.0m, see them drop to £4.9m, and £4.9m is all you get back.
• Team value adds up. Owning players before they rise builds a bigger budget over the season, which gives you more room for expensive players later on. Points still matter more than value, and picking players who score tends to build value anyway.

Using price changes in your strategy

Early transfers are the main lever. Buying a player before tonight's rise gets them £0.1m cheaper, and selling before a fall protects your value. The cost is information: move early and a midweek injury or a rotation hint at a press conference can leave you with a player you would not have picked on deadline day.

Wildcards give the most freedom. With unlimited free transfers you can sell players about to fall and bring in players about to rise, then settle your final squad before the deadline.

Price changes reward managers who follow transfer trends, but they are a means, not the goal. Use the predictions above to time moves you already want to make, check this gameweek's top transfers to see where demand is heading, and look back through the price change history to see how a player's value has moved this season.